It’s hard to bet against horses that win first off their Maiden victories. One of my favorite betting angles is to immediately eliminate Maidens making their debuts in Allowance ranks. That being said, morning line favorite Skymeister not only won first out after breaking his maiden, but did it in a stakes race and followed that up with a solid win in a 3NL one month later. Skymeister looms the obvious threat, especially having post #1. HOWEVER, I am going to take a chance and back 6-1 ML Chocolate Warrior going 3rd off a layoff and coming off an “off the turf” affair 1 month ago. Trainer Keith Bourgeois is firing at a 24% clip while hitting on 51% ITM. With a solid workout under his belt, the 4 yr. old gelding has a highly competitive Beyer Speed figure while getting to the ¼ mark in his last 5 ½ furlong race in 45.8. Rounding out the bet has to be Robbeau ridden by C.J. Woodley the leading rider at Evangeline with an extremely healthy 24% winning pct. Robbeau seems to relish 1st time back from any kind of a layoff posting 2 wins in 2 tries off the break. Robbeau also looks to hold the class advantage of the bunch and must not be forgotten.
The bet(s): Chocolate Warrior keyed in an exacta box w/ both Skymeister and Robbeau.
We’ll also play a straight triple keying CW on top with Smeister/Robbeau w/ Smeister/Robbeau
Good luck and please check out my compatriots selections for this uber-important night of racing: